Donald Trump Will Win Thursday's Nevada Caucuses by Default — Here's Why Nikki Haley Can't

Mar. 15, 2025

Donald Trump.Photo:Brandon Bell/Getty

Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump points to supporters at the conclusion of a campaign rally at the Atkinson Country Club on January 16, 2024 in Atkinson, New Hampshire. Trump won this week’s Iowa caucus, solidifying him as the lead Republican nominee in the first balloting of 2024. The former U.S. President heads to Atkinson, New Hampshire today as he continues campaigning during the primary election.

Brandon Bell/Getty

In an unusual move, Nevada held both a state-run primary and party-run caucuses this year. While voters could participate in each, candidates had to select one.

Trump opted to participate in the caucuses, meaning he did not appear on ballots in the state’s primary earlier this week. Former South Carolina Gov.Nikki Haleychose to appear on the primary ballot and, despite receiving fewer votes than “None of These Candidates,” was declared the winner of that contest.

Because the Nevada GOP oversees delegate allocation — and Republican leadership favored the caucuses over the primary — Haley is ineligible to receive any of Nevada’s 26 delegates based on her primary win.

Trump won’t automatically receive all of the delegates, though. Little-known candidate Ryan Brinkley is also participating in the caucuses and could siphon off one delegate for every 3.85% he earns.

Nikki Haley addresses New Hampshire voters on Jan. 23, 2024.Tasos Katopodis/Getty

Republican presidential candidate former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley delivers remarks at her primary night rally at the Grappone Conference Center

Tasos Katopodis/Getty

As former Biden-Harris adviser Symone Sanders-Townsendexplained to PEOPLEearlier this month, Trump lobbied to change Nevada’s voting process to work in his favor, which ultimately led to the dueling caucus-primary contests this week.

“Some of the Trump campaign’s efforts include Trump spending a lot of time schmoozing with state party chairs like the chair of the Nevada Republican party who — after having dinner with Trump — made a lot of changes to the way Republicans run their nominating contest in the state,” Sanders-Townsend said.

“One of those changes: This year the Nevada Republican Party is hosting a caucus, and made candidates choose between participating in their caucus or the Nevada secretary of state–run primary,” she continued. “Caucuses benefit candidates with some of the most dedicated supporters — like Trump.”

Trump’s expected victory in Nevada would come on the heels of his primary and caucus wins inNew HampshireandIowa. The Virgin Islands is also holding its Republican contest on Thursday, with four delegates up for grabs.

Even after Thursday’s caucuses, only 92 of 2,429 Republican delegates will have been assigned. A candidate needs to win half the total delegates to secure the party’s presidential nomination.

source: people.com

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